Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030311 0.032709 0.035220 0.038048 0.041150 0.044452 0.048239
2024-12-15 0.026448 0.029881 0.033677 0.038198 0.043457 0.049403 0.056667
2024-12-22 0.023410 0.027360 0.031905 0.037553 0.044426 0.052569 0.063027
2024-12-29 0.021304 0.025584 0.030672 0.037216 0.045480 0.055665 0.069314
2025-01-05 0.019614 0.024095 0.029571 0.036823 0.046280 0.058338 0.075113
2025-01-12 0.018017 0.022563 0.028249 0.035971 0.046323 0.059922 0.079475
2025-01-19 0.017159 0.021887 0.027932 0.036342 0.047925 0.063591 0.086863
2025-01-26 0.016253 0.021070 0.027351 0.036282 0.048883 0.066385 0.093177
2025-02-02 0.015641 0.020594 0.027176 0.036733 0.050539 0.070219 0.101253
2025-02-09 0.014815 0.019770 0.026465 0.036364 0.050966 0.072266 0.106758
2025-02-16 0.014136 0.019107 0.025928 0.036193 0.051640 0.074682 0.112974
2025-02-23 0.013482 0.018439 0.025341 0.035898 0.052086 0.076747 0.118753
2025-03-02 0.012998 0.017995 0.025056 0.036042 0.053218 0.079970 0.126740
2025-03-09 0.012369 0.017307 0.024381 0.035550 0.053321 0.081554 0.132093
2025-03-16 0.011722 0.016562 0.023579 0.034814 0.052977 0.082369 0.136151
2025-03-23 0.011228 0.016021 0.023054 0.034472 0.053235 0.084174 0.142083
2025-03-30 0.010764 0.015502 0.022535 0.034105 0.053419 0.085846 0.147886
2025-04-06 0.010231 0.014854 0.021786 0.033325 0.052854 0.086174 0.151185
2025-04-13 0.009999 0.014658 0.021729 0.033664 0.054201 0.089927 0.161313
2025-04-20 0.009691 0.014329 0.021446 0.033609 0.054855 0.092472 0.169297
2025-04-27 0.009505 0.014183 0.021443 0.034020 0.056347 0.096633 0.180881
2025-05-04 0.009168 0.013784 0.021016 0.033684 0.056474 0.098256 0.187388
2025-05-11 0.008888 0.013465 0.020704 0.033528 0.056913 0.100488 0.195363